PropGPT

Field notes for real-estate investors.

Deep dives on data, markets, and the craft of finding deals most people miss. Published daily.

House Hacking in 2026: Buy a Duplex for $6,500 Down and Let Your Tenants Pay the Mortgage
how-to7 min

House Hacking in 2026: Buy a Duplex for $6,500 Down and Let Your Tenants Pay the Mortgage

The FHA house hack is the most underused strategy in real estate investing: buy a duplex with 3.5% down, live in one unit, rent the other, and let your tenant cover 70-80% of your mortgage. In 2026, Midwest duplex markets make the math better than ever — here's the full playbook with specific numbers, qualification mechanics, and five PropGPT workflows to find and underwrite your first deal.

Justin Winthers · Jun 4, 2026
Berkshire Hathaway Just Paid $8.5 Billion for a Homebuilder in a Down Market. Here's What That Tells You.
hot-takes7 min

Berkshire Hathaway Just Paid $8.5 Billion for a Homebuilder in a Down Market. Here's What That Tells You.

Berkshire Hathaway's $8.5 billion acquisition of Taylor Morrison Home Corp. — Greg Abel's first major deal — is the clearest market signal of 2026. Here's how to decode Berkshire's 12-state geographic thesis, what it means for rental investors, and how to use PropGPT to find the adjacent opportunities before institutional capital prices them in.

Justin Winthers · Jun 3, 2026
Home Insurance Is the New Mortgage Rate. In 8 States, It's Already Killing Deals.
market-news6 min

Home Insurance Is the New Mortgage Rate. In 8 States, It's Already Killing Deals.

A May 2026 CNBC survey found 42% of homeowners say insurance costs jumped 'a lot' — and for investors, the math is far worse than for homeowners. Nebraska averages $6,587/year, Louisiana $6,274, and Florida coastal counties run $9,000–$18,000. Florida's active insurance policy count collapsed 78% over the last decade. This piece breaks down the state-by-state data, shows exactly how ballooning premiums are destroying cap rates on marketed deals, surfaces the four underwriting mistakes investors keep making, and gives five PropGPT workflows to run insurance-adjusted NOI on any deal before you make an offer.

Justin Winthers · Jun 2, 2026
43,000 Chicago Listings Vanished From Zillow. Nashville Goes Dark Today. Here's What Every Investor Needs to Know.
hot-takes6 min

43,000 Chicago Listings Vanished From Zillow. Nashville Goes Dark Today. Here's What Every Investor Needs to Know.

Starting June 1, Zillow loses listing feed access for Nashville and the entire Realtracs territory (Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia) — following a crisis where 43,000 Chicago listings vanished from the platform overnight. This article breaks down the MLS wars, which investor markets are affected, and how to use PropGPT's direct MLS data access to see the listings that Zillow can no longer show you.

Justin Winthers · Jun 1, 2026
Housing Inventory Just Flipped Negative Year-Over-Year. Investors: Your Negotiating Window Is Closing.
data-analysis6 min

Housing Inventory Just Flipped Negative Year-Over-Year. Investors: Your Negotiating Window Is Closing.

In the week of May 22–29, 2026, housing inventory tracked by HousingWire turned negative year-over-year for the first time since the rate-driven inventory surge began — even with mortgage rates at their 2026 peak of 6.77%. Redfin's April data shows prices up 2.4% and pending sales at the highest level since February 2023. This article breaks down what the data means for investors who have been counting on a buyer's market that is quietly ending.

Justin Winthers · May 31, 2026
$162 Billion in Apartment Loans Are Coming Due in 2026 — and 60% of It Hits This Summer. Here's the Investor's Playbook.
how-to8 min

$162 Billion in Apartment Loans Are Coming Due in 2026 — and 60% of It Hits This Summer. Here's the Investor's Playbook.

Over $162 billion in multifamily loans mature in 2026 — and 60% hit in the second half of the year. Operators who borrowed at 3-4% in 2021 can't refinance at today's 6.24% rates, creating a concentrated distressed-seller window in overbuilt Sun Belt markets. This article walks through the five-step playbook for sourcing, underwriting, and closing distressed apartment deals before the best opportunities are gone.

Justin Winthers · May 30, 2026
Mobile Home Parks in 2026: How to Find 8-10% Cap Rates While Institutions Pay 5%
investor-strategies7 min

Mobile Home Parks in 2026: How to Find 8-10% Cap Rates While Institutions Pay 5%

Mobile home parks are running at 94% national occupancy with virtually no new supply coming, and institutional capital has noticed — and acted. Private investors who understand the value-add tier, under-managed communities trading at 8-10% cap rates, can still outmaneuver the big funds. Here's the data, the playbook, and the mistakes that will kill your deal.

Justin Winthers · May 29, 2026
Hartford, CT Just Beat Phoenix for Real Estate Returns. Here's What That Tells You About 2026.
hot-takes6 min

Hartford, CT Just Beat Phoenix for Real Estate Returns. Here's What That Tells You About 2026.

The Sun Belt markets that dominated real estate investing from 2020 to 2023 have quietly collapsed in the rankings — Phoenix, Austin, and Dallas aren't even in the top 15 anymore. Hartford, CT just took the number one spot, driven by inventory running 63% below pre-pandemic levels and cap rates of 6-7% that actually make the math work at current mortgage rates. This piece breaks down the supply data behind the shift, why Sun Belt cap rates are now a negative-leverage trap, and exactly how to use PropGPT to evaluate deals in unfamiliar Northeast markets.

Justin Winthers · May 28, 2026
The $69B Apartment Merger Nobody's Talking About — And What It Means for Your Next Deal
market-news6 min

The $69B Apartment Merger Nobody's Talking About — And What It Means for Your Next Deal

AvalonBay and Equity Residential announced a $69 billion all-stock merger on May 21, 2026, creating the largest apartment landlord in US history with 180,000+ units concentrated in coastal high-barrier markets. We break down exactly what this institutional megadeal means for private investors — which markets to target, where the deal flow is coming from, and how to position before everyone else catches on.

Justin Winthers · May 27, 2026
Foreclosures Are Up 26%: The Distressed-Property Investor Playbook for 2026
investor-strategies7 min

Foreclosures Are Up 26%: The Distressed-Property Investor Playbook for 2026

ATTOM's Q1 2026 Foreclosure Market Report shows 118,727 U.S. properties with filings — up 26% year over year — with bank repossessions surging 45%. This article breaks down the three investor entry points (pre-foreclosure, auction, REO), puts the data in context (still 87% below 2010 peak), and shows exactly how to use PropGPT to underwrite deals, pull comps, and craft direct-mail outreach before the rest of the market catches on.

Justin Winthers · May 26, 2026
Opportunity Zones Just Went Permanent. Here's the 7-Month Strategy Window Investors Are Moving On.
investor-strategies7 min

Opportunity Zones Just Went Permanent. Here's the 7-Month Strategy Window Investors Are Moving On.

Opportunity Zones just became a permanent program—and December 31, 2026 is a critical transition date. Learn the three investor positions, the tax math behind 10-year appreciation exclusion, and exactly how to use PropGPT to find and screen OZ investments before the window shifts.

Justin Winthers · May 19, 2026