PropGPT

Field notes for real-estate investors.

Deep dives on data, markets, and the craft of finding deals most people miss. Published daily.

Foreclosures Are Up 26%: The Distressed-Property Investor Playbook for 2026
investor-strategies7 min read

Foreclosures Are Up 26%: The Distressed-Property Investor Playbook for 2026

ATTOM's Q1 data shows bank repos up 45% YOY — here's how to build your deal pipeline before the crowd catches on.

ATTOM's Q1 2026 Foreclosure Market Report shows 118,727 U.S. properties with filings — up 26% year over year — with bank repossessions surging 45%. This article breaks down the three investor entry points (pre-foreclosure, auction, REO), puts the data in context (still 87% below 2010 peak), and shows exactly how to use PropGPT to underwrite deals, pull comps, and craft direct-mail outreach before the rest of the market catches on.

Justin Winthers · May 26, 2026
Opportunity Zones Just Went Permanent. Here's the 7-Month Strategy Window Investors Are Moving On.
investor-strategies7 min

Opportunity Zones Just Went Permanent. Here's the 7-Month Strategy Window Investors Are Moving On.

Opportunity Zones just became a permanent program—and December 31, 2026 is a critical transition date. Learn the three investor positions, the tax math behind 10-year appreciation exclusion, and exactly how to use PropGPT to find and screen OZ investments before the window shifts.

Justin Winthers · May 19, 2026
Senior Housing Just Hit 90% Occupancy. New Construction Is at a 13-Year Low. Here's the Investor Playbook.
investor-strategies8 min

Senior Housing Just Hit 90% Occupancy. New Construction Is at a 13-Year Low. Here's the Investor Playbook.

Baby boomers are turning 80 in 2026, pushing senior housing occupancy above 90% while new construction starts have plunged 77% from peak — a supply-demand mismatch that won't resolve for at least a decade. This piece breaks down the real investment opportunity (it's not the $5,500/month luxury assisted living everyone's chasing), the key metrics investors need right now, the four mistakes that get investors burned, and five PropGPT workflows to find undervalued facilities, underwrite cap rate compression, and get ahead of the 200,000-unit gap before institutional capital closes the door.

Justin Winthers · May 18, 2026
The No-Bank Playbook: How to Use Seller Financing to Close Deals That Conventional Lenders Won't Touch
investor-strategies6 min

The No-Bank Playbook: How to Use Seller Financing to Close Deals That Conventional Lenders Won't Touch

$29.5 billion in seller-financed notes were created in 2025 — 87,212 transactions completed with no bank involved. This guide breaks down the five seller financing structures, a full deal model showing 7.5% cash-on-cash in Memphis without a conventional appraisal, the four mistakes that kill seller-carry deals, and five PropGPT prompts to find high-equity motivated sellers, run the underwriting, and draft the LOI before your next negotiation.

Justin Winthers · May 17, 2026
The Housing Market Just Split in Two: Where Smart Investors Are Putting Money in May 2026
data-analysis6 min

The Housing Market Just Split in Two: Where Smart Investors Are Putting Money in May 2026

The national housing market average is masking a 14-point performance gap: San Francisco up 10.7%, Detroit up 10.1%, Dallas down 3.8%, Seattle down 3.3%. We break down what's driving the structural split, which metros are worth buying in right now, and the four mistakes investors make when they rely on national headlines instead of city-level data.

Justin Winthers · May 16, 2026
How to Assume a 3% Mortgage in a 6.5% Rate World: The 2026 Investor's Playbook
how-to7 min

How to Assume a 3% Mortgage in a 6.5% Rate World: The 2026 Investor's Playbook

With mortgage rates stuck at 6.49%, millions of FHA and VA loans from 2020–2022 at 2.5%–3.5% are sitting on properties — legally transferable to any qualified buyer. This guide breaks down exactly how to find assumable mortgages, structure the equity gap, negotiate with servicers, and use PropGPT to screen and underwrite deals that beat today's rate environment by hundreds of dollars a month.

Justin Winthers · May 15, 2026
The Midwest Cash Flow Play: How Investors Are Clearing 10% Yields While Everyone Panics About Rates
investor-strategies7 min

The Midwest Cash Flow Play: How Investors Are Clearing 10% Yields While Everyone Panics About Rates

Mortgage rates just hit 6.5% — but a quiet group of investors is posting 10% cash-on-cash returns anyway. The secret isn't a magic strategy; it's geography. Here's the Midwest cash flow playbook with real numbers from Cleveland, Indianapolis, and Pittsburgh, plus five PropGPT workflows to run the analysis yourself.

Justin Winthers · May 14, 2026
Multifamily Vacancy Just Hit 6.7% — Why the Smart Money Is Buying the Pain, Not Running From It
investor-strategies7 min

Multifamily Vacancy Just Hit 6.7% — Why the Smart Money Is Buying the Pain, Not Running From It

National multifamily vacancy hit 6.7% — a cycle peak analysts say is already correcting itself as new starts fall 5% and deliveries dry up through 2028. This piece breaks down the data, identifies which submarkets are already outperforming, and shows investors exactly how to underwrite a contrarian buy using PropGPT before the recovery trade gets crowded.

Justin Winthers · May 13, 2026
5 Midwest Cities Are Generating 9%+ Rental Yields in 2026 — While Sun Belt Investors Are Stuck
data-analysis7 min

5 Midwest Cities Are Generating 9%+ Rental Yields in 2026 — While Sun Belt Investors Are Stuck

Midwest rental markets are quietly outperforming the Sun Belt in 2026, with Cleveland posting ~9.8% gross yields and Indianapolis at ~9.1% — while Florida's Gulf Coast wrestles with insurance crises and price declines. This data-driven breakdown shows exactly where cash flow lives today, why the shift is structural, and how to run the numbers yourself with PropGPT.

Justin Winthers · May 12, 2026
$313,000 in Dead Equity: The HELOC Strategy That's Quietly Building Rental Portfolios in 2026
investor-strategies7 min

$313,000 in Dead Equity: The HELOC Strategy That's Quietly Building Rental Portfolios in 2026

U.S. homeowners collectively hold $34.5 trillion in home equity, with the average individual sitting on $313,000 they could borrow against at 7.10% — right now. This piece breaks down the exact HELOC-to-rental strategy: how to structure the draw, which Midwest markets make the math pencil, the bridge-financing cycle that lets you reuse the same capital across multiple acquisitions, and five PropGPT prompts to underwrite any HELOC-funded deal before you make an offer.

Justin Winthers · May 11, 2026
Mid-Term Rentals Are Out-Earning Airbnb on Net Income — Here's the 2026 Data Investors Are Missing
hot-takes7 min

Mid-Term Rentals Are Out-Earning Airbnb on Net Income — Here's the 2026 Data Investors Are Missing

While Airbnb operators fight for 55% occupancy and hand 15% to the platform before expenses start, mid-term rental operators are running 80–95% occupancy at half the operating cost — and generating higher net income on identical properties. This piece breaks down the full STR vs. MTR vs. LTR comparison with 2026 data, maps the highest-demand markets, flags the four mistakes that sink new MTR investors, and gives five PropGPT prompts to underwrite, price, and source tenants for any mid-term rental.

Justin Winthers · May 10, 2026
Single-Family Rentals Are Beating Multifamily by a Record 26.7% Margin — Here's the City-by-City Data and What to Buy
data-analysis6 min

Single-Family Rentals Are Beating Multifamily by a Record 26.7% Margin — Here's the City-by-City Data and What to Buy

National multifamily vacancy hit 7.3% — a multi-decade record — while single-family rental rents grew 2.4% YoY in March 2026. The rent gap between SFR and apartment buildings has widened to a record 26.7%, driven by a 38-year-high construction wave swamping Sun Belt markets. This article breaks down the metro-by-metro data, explains the structural reasons the divide will last through 2027, flags the common underwriting mistakes investors are making, and gives five PropGPT prompts to analyze any SFR vs. multifamily decision in minutes.

Justin Winthers · May 9, 2026