PropGPT

Field notes for real-estate investors.

Deep dives on data, markets, and the craft of finding deals most people miss. Published daily.

A bank bag spilling cash down federal courthouse steps at sunrise, a set of house keys resting on top of the pile.
market-news8 min

The DOJ Is About to Pay Landlords $1 Billion for COVID Eviction Losses — the Deadline to Join Is This September

The DOJ is negotiating a roughly $1 billion settlement with landlords over lost rental income during the 2020-2021 CDC eviction moratorium, after a federal appeals court found the ban may have violated the Fifth Amendment's Takings Clause. The statute of limitations to join the case closes in early September 2026 — here's the legal backstory, the real numbers behind the payout, and how to check whether your own losses from that period could still be worth claiming.

Justin Winthers · Jul 7, 2026
Aerial view of a South Florida neighborhood — pastel homes with barrel-tile roofs and pools along a palm-lined canal.
hot-takes6 min

Florida Voters Are About to Give Homeowners a $250,000 Tax Exemption — Investors Could Get Stuck With the $12 Billion Bill

Florida's Amendment 3 slashes property taxes for homesteaded homeowners while quietly changing the rules for rental and commercial property owners. State economists project a $12 billion annual revenue hole by year five, and investors, who already generate 64% of Florida's property tax revenue, are the most likely place counties turn to fill it. Here's what the bill actually does, and how to model your exposure before the November 3 vote.

Justin Winthers · Jul 6, 2026
Only 21% of Investors Look Off-Market First — New Data Shows the Other 79% Are Losing the Best Deals
investor-strategies6 min

Only 21% of Investors Look Off-Market First — New Data Shows the Other 79% Are Losing the Best Deals

A Q4 2025 investor survey and a separate OfferMarket poll reveal that while only 21% of investors say they look off-market first, 40% of recent purchases actually came from off-market sources — nearly double the rate of investor attention. Here's what the data shows, the mistakes investors make chasing off-market deals, and how to build an off-market pipeline with PropGPT.

Justin Winthers · Jul 5, 2026
A vacant land parcel marked with surveyor stakes and caution tape, a blank for-sale sign leaning in the foreground under storm clouds.
how-to6 min

The FBI Just Warned That Scammers Are Selling Vacant Land They Don't Own — 62% of Title Fraud Now Targets Deals Just Like Yours

The FBI just issued a fresh nationwide alert: criminals are impersonating vacant landowners, forging deeds, and selling property they don't legally own. This piece breaks down exactly how the scam works, the hard numbers behind it (62% of title fraud now targets vacant land), and a PropGPT-powered verification workflow that catches it before you wire a dollar.

Justin Winthers · Jul 4, 2026
The same suburban street split between dark storm clouds and bright golden sunlight — one market, two opposite readings.
market-news7 min

Two Housing Reports Just Dropped. Both Say Prices Moved 2.5%. One Means a Crash, the Other a Record High.

Realtor.com and Redfin published contradictory national price reports one day apart this week, both citing a 2.5% year-over-year move in opposite directions. Here's why they're both right, why four sources quoted mortgage rates 37 basis points apart the same week, and how to pull the local ask-vs-sold data that actually matters for your next offer.

Justin Winthers · Jul 3, 2026
House Flipping Margins Just Snapped a 7-Quarter Losing Streak — Here's Why Pittsburgh Investors Are Clearing 85.9% While Austin Flippers Get 2%
hot-takes6 min

House Flipping Margins Just Snapped a 7-Quarter Losing Streak — Here's Why Pittsburgh Investors Are Clearing 85.9% While Austin Flippers Get 2%

ATTOM's Q1 2026 Home Flipping Report shows profit margins rose for the first time in seven straight quarters, snapping a two-year slide — but the 25.4% national average hides a massive split: some metros are clearing 85.9% ROI while others barely break even. This piece breaks down where the real flipping money is in 2026, the price tier quietly outperforming everything else, and how to screen for it before the next investor does.

Justin Winthers · Jul 2, 2026
242 U.S. Cities Now Have $1 Million 'Starter Homes.' Here's Where Investors Can Still Buy One for $120,000.
data-analysis6 min

242 U.S. Cities Now Have $1 Million 'Starter Homes.' Here's Where Investors Can Still Buy One for $120,000.

Zillow just confirmed that 242 U.S. cities now have 'starter homes' priced above $1 million, nearly triple the pre-pandemic count. But the same data shows real sub-$150,000 entry points still exist in Birmingham, Pittsburgh, Detroit, and Memphis. Here's how to use that split to find your next deal instead of your next headline.

Justin Winthers · Jul 1, 2026
Government Red Tape Added $132,000 to Every New Home Built in 2026. Here's Why That's a Long-Term Landlord's Secret Weapon.
data-analysis7 min

Government Red Tape Added $132,000 to Every New Home Built in 2026. Here's Why That's a Long-Term Landlord's Secret Weapon.

NAHB's June 2026 study reveals government regulations now add $131,734 to every new U.S. home — a 40% increase in five years, compounding at more than twice the pace of income growth. This breakdown explains why the 1.2-million-unit housing deficit isn't closing, what that means for long-term rent growth, and the PropGPT prompts investors can use to identify supply-constrained markets where existing rental inventory has a durable competitive advantage.

Justin Winthers · Jun 30, 2026
$3,500 to $6,500: How Co-Living Investors Are Doubling Rent From the Same Single-Family Home
investor-strategies8 min

$3,500 to $6,500: How Co-Living Investors Are Doubling Rent From the Same Single-Family Home

Co-living turns a 5-bedroom home from a $3,500/month single-family rental into a $6,000-$7,000/month income property by renting each room individually to working professionals. This article breaks down the underwriting math, the best markets in 2026 (Denver, Austin, Colorado Springs, Nashville, Indianapolis), common execution mistakes, and five copy-paste PropGPT prompts for market screening, zoning research, and side-by-side deal analysis.

Justin Winthers · Jun 27, 2026
Subject-To: How to Acquire Real Estate at 3.25% in a 6.5% Rate World (Without Applying to a Bank)
investor-strategies7 min

Subject-To: How to Acquire Real Estate at 3.25% in a 6.5% Rate World (Without Applying to a Bank)

When rates sit at 6.5–6.9% and foreclosure filings are up 14%, investors who know Subject-To are acquiring rental properties with inherited 3–4% mortgages — no bank approval required. This guide breaks down the mechanics, the math (you save $740/month on a $300K deal vs a DSCR loan), how to find pre-foreclosure deals, and exactly how to use PropGPT to underwrite and close them.

Justin Winthers · Jun 26, 2026
NYC's Airbnb Crackdown Killed 70% of Listings. Here's the City-by-City STR Investor Playbook for 2026.
hot-takes7 min

NYC's Airbnb Crackdown Killed 70% of Listings. Here's the City-by-City STR Investor Playbook for 2026.

New York City's short-term rental crackdown eliminated roughly 70% of Airbnb listings overnight — and cities across the country are following. But the real story isn't the crackdown: compliant investors in investor-friendly markets are capturing that displaced revenue and clearing 10%+ cap rates. This is the regulatory map, the top markets, and the exact playbook for STR investors in 2026.

Justin Winthers · Jun 24, 2026